A Gambler In Heaven
A gambler has just lost all but one $1 in Vegas and decides to go for a walk. Unfortunately he gets hit by a bus but, having lived mostly a good life aside from the gambling, is shown God’s mercy and lands in heaven. They only have one type of gambling in heaven, it is a simple choice-free game with the following rules:
A coin is tossed. If it comes up tails, you lose $1. If it comes up heads, your entire bankroll is tripled.
The gambler only has the $1 he had on him when he died (turns out you keep your money when you go to heaven). Here is a possible outcome of his playing this game:
- $1 – H -> $3
- $3 – T -> $2
- $2 – H -> $6
- $6 – T -> $5
- $5 – T -> $4
- $4 – T -> $3
- $3 – T -> $2
- $2 – T -> $1
- $1 – T -> $0
And thus he is broke.
The question is this: starting with his $1, what is the probability he will live the rest of eternity broke in heaven? The alternative, presumably, is that he spends eternity doing what he loves most: gambling. Do all paths eventually lead to bankruptcy a la Gambler’s ruin, or is there a nonzero probability of playing forever?
You may leave your ideas in the comments, and I will post a solution in a few days.

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